Blackjack probability table
At a casino blackjack table, The idea is that the dealer's second card has a fairly high probability (nearly one-third) to be ten-valued. Get a free blackjack strategy chart for any rules! Play our free blackjack strategy trainer game, learn card counting, or dive deep in our knowledge base. Detailed probability odds charts for blackjack and how the odds change in different situations of the game.
Blackjack Dealer Outcome Probabilities
There is actually a way to beat the house edge by increasing your odds. Removing every 5 from a deck cards would make the largest impact of improving your blackjack odds, as a player. Blackjack is actually one of the most popular games in the casino and also has some of the lowest odds of all the casino games, except casino craps of course. By acting last, all other players have already made their decisions and could quite possibly bust before the dealer has his turn. The table on the left depicts how likely it is that dealer will go bust with certain up cards and what the player odds are in this very situation.
The dealer outcome probability charts on this page can be helpful in determining which of two tournament strategies is preferable. Then look up the dealer upcard across the top, and read down the column to see the probability of each dealer outcome. The probabilities of each outcome other than Blackjack assume that the dealer has checked the hole card and did not have blackjack.
But this is not true for the last two colums tens and aces of the diagram! Apparently you did not read the description at the top of the page. The Ace and Ten columns are after the dealer has checked for blackjack and did not have it. That method is far more useful for most purposes than including blackjack in the normal totals. These are my results for dealer busting chances: No, something is wrong with your calculations.
Your numbers agree with mine for dealer upcards of 5,6,7,8, and 9, but are too low on all the other upcards. If you want a second place to compare, see this thread and download the spreadsheet there: What are some common mistakes made by blackjack players? Subscribe and download our detailed report to find out. We take the privacy of your personal information seriously and will not disclose your email to any third parties. Blackjack Dealer Outcome Probabilities Facebook. Notify of new replies to this comment - on.
Notify of new replies to this comment - off. I need your excel calculations for my project. Can you mail it to me?
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Blackjack , also known as twenty-one , is a comparing card game between usually several players and a dealer, where each player in turn competes against the dealer, but players do not play against each other. It is played with one or more decks of 52 cards, and is the most widely played casino banking game in the world. Players are each dealt two cards, face up or down depending on the casino and the table at which you sit. In most other countries, the dealer receives one card face up.
The value of cards two through ten is their pip value 2 through Face cards Jack, Queen, and King are all worth ten. Aces can be worth one or eleven. A hand's value is the sum of the card values. Players are allowed to draw additional cards to improve their hands. A hand with an ace valued as 11 is called "soft", meaning that the hand will not bust by taking an additional card; the value of the ace will become one to prevent the hand from exceeding Otherwise, the hand is "hard".
The dealer hand will not be completed if all players have either busted or received Blackjacks. The dealer then reveals the hidden card and must hit until the cards total 17 or more points. At most tables the dealer also hits on a "soft" 17, i. Players win by not busting and having a total higher than the dealer, or not busting and having the dealer bust, or getting a blackjack without the dealer getting a blackjack.
If the player and dealer have the same total not counting blackjacks , this is called a "push", and the player typically does not win or lose money on that hand. Otherwise, the dealer wins. Blackjack has many rule variations. Since the s, blackjack has been a high-profile target of advantage players , particularly card counters , who track the profile of cards that have been dealt and adapt their wagers and playing strategies accordingly.
Blackjack has inspired other casino games, including Spanish 21 and pontoon. Blackjack's precursor was twenty-one , a game of unknown origin. The first written reference is found in a book by the Spanish author Miguel de Cervantes , most famous for writing Don Quixote. Cervantes was a gambler , and the main characters of his tale " Rinconete y Cortadillo ", from Novelas Ejemplares , are a couple of cheats working in Seville.
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